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FXUS64 KOHX 072259
AFDOHX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
559 PM CDT TUE SEP 7 2010

.AVIATION 00Z DISCUSSION...
FRONTAL BOUNDARY POSITIONED TO OUR NW THIS EVENING WILL SAG SE
THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HR PD. ASSOCIATED MOISTURE AXIS WILL IN TURN 
CROSS THE REGION OVERNIGHT. CONVECTION WILL BE A LITTLE MORE DEVELOPED
OVER THE PLATEAU AREA. THUS...WILL INCLUDE A TEMPO GROUP TOWARD
12Z FOR CSV WITH JUST VICINITY FOR BNA. CIGS SHLD REMAIN AOA 3 KFT WITH
VSBYS AOA 3SM THRU THE TAF PD.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 319 PM CDT TUE SEP 7 2010/ 

DISCUSSION...
CURRENT...SIGNIFICANT INCREASE IN MOISTURE AND CONSEQUENT DESTABILIZAIION
THIS AFTERNOON...WITH SCT CONVECTION FIRING ACROSS NW 1/2 OF CWA.
TEMPS IN UPPER 80S TO LWR 90S. CAN SEE CIRCULATION OF REMNANTS OF
T.S. HERMINE NEAR SAN ANTONIO.

ALSO OF NOTE...CONVECTION ALONG SWD MOVING FRONT OVER SRN IN-NE
OK. THINGS SHLD CALM DOWN A LITTLE AFTER SUNSET. WILL GO WITH
CHANCE POPS TONITE WITH FRONT WEAKENING WITH TIME.

MODELS AMD HPC SHOW HEAVY RAINS ASSCTD WITH REMNANTS MOVING FROM
CNTRL TX NE TO CNTRL OK THEN ENE TO NEAR EVV BY 12Z FRI...SO WE
SHLD BE S OF GREATEST QPF. POPS LO FROM WED INTO THU THEN INCREASE A
LITTLE BY FRI WITH GREATER INSTABILITY. WARM TEMPS WILL
CONTINUE...WITH EXPECTATIONS THAT CLOUDINESS WILL NOT BE TOO MUCH
OF AN ISSUE. 

ANOTHER CHANCE FOR RAIN WITH NEXT FROPA SAT NITE...DROPPING OFF
ON SUN. WILL LIKELY NOT SEE TOO MANY 90 DEG READINGS SUN AND
BEYOND AS UPPER RIDGE GRAUALLY RETROGRADES.

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

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